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More people would vote for AL than BNP, poll shows

David Bergman

More people would vote for the Awami League than the Bangladesh Nationalist Party according to an opinion poll conducted in the second week of January by the international organisation Democracy International and the pollster AC Nielsen Bangladesh.
The face-to-face surveys of 1500 randomly selected people throughout Bangladesh undertaken between January 11–15, 2014 found that 42 per cent would vote for the Awami League if the elections were held ‘today,’ with 38 per cent supporting the Bangladesh Nationalist Party.
This is a significant turnaround for the Awami League which only seven months ago in July 2013 was down 11 percentage points on the BNP (43 to 32 per cent) in a poll undertaken by the two organisations.
In November 2013, a poll showed that the Awami League had reduced the BNP’s lead to three points but still remained behind.
Democracy International described the new results as being a ‘statistical dead heat’ because of the margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 per cent and showed that the political environment was ‘competitive.’
The poll found that the Jatiya Party had 4 per cent support and the Jamaat-e-Islami 1 per cent.
The Awami League’s surge in support appears to have come from voters who in the past had told pollsters that they were ‘undecided’.
The percentage of voters in the January 2014 poll who were ‘undecided’ had reduced by 6 points from 20 per cent in a poll conducted two months earlier to 14 per cent.
The support for the government comes despite the negative views held by the poll respondents about the elections held on January 5, with most viewing it as a ‘farce.’
The poll also found that only 29 per cent of people thought that the country was heading in the right direction, a decline of 17 per cent since October 2013 when 46 per cent thought that the country was going in the right direction.
The figure is however, still an improvement from the situation in April 2013 when a poll by the same organisations found that only 14 per cent thought that the country was going in the right direction.




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